AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
AFC Wimbledon v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Northampton Town nicked a narrow win over AFC Wimbledon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We leaned AFC Wimbledon at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.
By the numbers, AFC Wimbledon had 55% of the ball to Northampton Town's 45%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.54 to 2.49.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 1.17 for Northampton Town.
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Result & Final Score
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 2 Northampton Town in the England - EFL Trophy on 10/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 47%, draw 27%, Northampton Town 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Wimbledon), Under 2.5 went the other way.