Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.7
6+ Goals
6%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-9.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.32
-13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
15.5 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.07.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 2-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.33 xG 0.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
236 Passes 379
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu and Yanbian Longding shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 41% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 59%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.33 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?

Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 35%, draw 32%, Yanbian Longding 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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