Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-0 Chengdu Rongcheng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 HT 0-0
Chengdu Rongcheng
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.86
Over
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.23
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.64
6+
8%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.46
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X ✗
8%
14.85
X/1
7%
8.33
X/2
20%
4.12
X/X
13%
4.78
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.42
2/X
6%
14.2
Value flag · 1/X at 14.85 — our 8% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Chengdu Rongcheng — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Rongcheng The Market 56%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.95/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.9 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-0 Chengdu Rongcheng — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0
AWAY Chengdu Rongcheng
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
147 Passes 460
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions nicked a narrow win over Chengdu Rongcheng 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Rongcheng at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 29% of the ball to Chengdu Rongcheng's 71%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-0 Chengdu Rongcheng in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Rongcheng win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 26%, draw 27%, Chengdu Rongcheng 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chengdu Rongcheng) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Rongcheng) ✓ Under 2.5
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