Varnsdorf 0-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.95/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.30
+37% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 4-3 HT 4-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
04.04.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-4 HT 0-3 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
08.09.2022 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
23.04.2022 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
17.10.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-3 HT 1-3 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
10.04.2021 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-2 HT 0-2 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
0-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag nicked a narrow win over Varnsdorf 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dukla Prag found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 44% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 56%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Prag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Varnsdorf and 2.17 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Dukla Prag?

Varnsdorf 0-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - FNL on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dukla Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 35%, draw 26%, Dukla Prag 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Prag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Prag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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