10/03/2024
·
12:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Havirov vs Sumperk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
48%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
48%
30%
Draw
28%
29%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Havirov v Sumperk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Havirov
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sumperk
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+62% /
+62%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-46%
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
4
343 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
247 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Havirov vs Sumperk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Havirov nicked a narrow win over Sumperk 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Havirov as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Havirov vs Sumperk?
Havirov 1-0 Sumperk in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Havirov vs Sumperk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Havirov win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Havirov 41%, draw 30%, Sumperk 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havirov) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Havirov)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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10 Mar 2024