10/03/2024
·
12:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec nad Doubravou Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
40%
34%
Draw
31%
33%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Velke Mezirici v Zdirec nad Doubravou — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Velke Mezirici
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zdirec nad Doubravou
The Market 32%
-62% /
-62%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-42% /
-42%
0.00/5.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/3.00
-100%
/
-67%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-39%
/
-42%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
353 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
289 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec nad Doubravou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zdirec nad Doubravou got the better of Velke Mezirici 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Zdirec nad Doubravou found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec nad Doubravou?
Velke Mezirici 1-3 Zdirec nad Doubravou in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Velke Mezirici vs Zdirec nad Doubravou?
Before kick-off our model rated a Velke Mezirici win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Velke Mezirici 34%, draw 34%, Zdirec nad Doubravou 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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