Viktoria Plzen 4-0 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
12%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 38%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.34/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.36
+80% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
27.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
26.04.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
05.11.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
08.05.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-0 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
13.02.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
4-0
AWAY Sparta Prag
2.21 xG 0.13
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
417 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen swept aside Sparta Prag 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Viktoria Plzen made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 59% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 41%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.21 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1.17 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag?

Viktoria Plzen 4-0 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 40%, draw 26%, Sparta Prag 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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