Celtic 4-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.65
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
29%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
20%
3.44
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
6%
12.25
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
5%
31.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.7pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.3pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
4.08/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.05/2.00
+53% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / +34%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
510 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 176 · 65%
51.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Livingston
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.57 xG 0.44
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
567 Passes 151
86% Pass Accuracy 56%
47 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
23.09.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-3 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
01.02.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
21.12.2022 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
30.10.2022 Livingston Livingston 0-3 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
06.03.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-3 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
4-2
AWAY Livingston
77% Ball Possession 23%
31 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
579 Passes 103
87% Pass Accuracy 51%
66 Box Touches 12
40 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic got the better of Livingston 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celtic had 77% of the ball to Livingston's 23%, shots finished 31-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celtic and 0.33 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Livingston?

Celtic 4-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Cup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Celtic 68%, draw 18%, Livingston 14%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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