Malmö FF 5-2 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 23% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.62/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/2.83
+29% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / -31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Norrköping
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.07 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
408 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
24.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
11.09.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
16.07.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
11.09.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
03.07.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 3-2 HT 2-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
5-2
AWAY Norrköping
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Norrköping 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 64% of the ball to Norrköping's 36%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Malmö FF and 0.83 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Norrköping?

Malmö FF 5-2 Norrköping in the Sweden - Cup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 51%, draw 25%, Norrköping 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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