Ursaria 1-0 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Mar 2024

Ursaria
1-0 HT 1-0
Cacereno
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2023/2024

Ursaria vs Cacereno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ursaria v Cacereno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ursaria EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.25/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.76
+23% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Ursaria vs Cacereno Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ursaria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cacereno
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 2-3 HT 1-2 Ursaria Ursaria İS4

Ursaria 1-0 Cacereno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ursaria
1-0
AWAY Cacereno
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ursaria vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ursaria squeezed past Cacereno 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ursaria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ursaria had 41% of the ball to Cacereno's 59%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Ursaria vs Cacereno?

Ursaria 1-0 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ursaria vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ursaria 33%, draw 31%, Cacereno 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cacereno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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