Muri 0-5 Muttenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Classic, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
53%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muri The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Muttenz The Market 21%
-73% / -73% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+44% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Muri vs Muttenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muttenz ran out comfortable winners over Muri 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Muri at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Muri vs Muttenz?

Muri 0-5 Muttenz in the Switzerland - 1st Division Classic on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muri vs Muttenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muri win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Muri 55%, draw 20%, Muttenz 25%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Muri), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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