Thor Akureyri 1-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 10 Mar 2024

Thor Akureyri
1-1 HT 0-0
Fjölnir
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.16
Draw
25%
7.78
Away
27%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
82%
-34.2pp
25%
Draw
10%
+14.1pp
27%
Away Win
7%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v Fjölnir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 9%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.69
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +71%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fjölnir
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
26.05.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 6-0 HT 3-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
15.07.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-4 HT 1-3 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
13.05.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
11.03.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-2 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
28.08.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri and Fjölnir shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thor Akureyri at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.67 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir?

Thor Akureyri 1-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - League Cup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 48%, draw 25%, Fjölnir 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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