Köln (K) 2-1 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

Köln (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Werder Bremen (K)
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
38%
3.11
Away
30%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.3pp
38%
Draw
29%
+9.6pp
29%
Away Win
43%
-13.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Köln (K) 2-1 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
2-1
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
2.84 xG 2.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 11
184 Passes 199
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) squeezed past Werder Bremen (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 38% / 29% — and on the day Köln (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln (K) had 48% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 52%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.84 to 2.56.

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Köln (K) 2-1 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 32%, draw 38%, Werder Bremen (K) 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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