Havelse 1-0 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.82/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.95
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
1W-1D-1L
AWAY BW Lohne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-1 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-2 HT 1-2 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
28.09.2022 Havelse Havelse 0-3 HT 0-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
1-0
AWAY BW Lohne
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Havelse vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse edged past BW Lohne 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Havelse had 47% of the ball to BW Lohne's 53%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Havelse and 1.67 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Havelse vs BW Lohne?

Havelse 1-0 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Havelse 45%, draw 26%, BW Lohne 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havelse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
10 Mar 2024
15:00 Hamburg II vs Jeddeloh Analysis →
15:00 Chemie Leipzig vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
15:00 Viktoria Berlin vs Carl Zeiss Jena Analysis →
15:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Berliner AK 07 Analysis →
16:00 Meppen vs St. Pauli II Analysis →
16:00 Eintracht Norderstedt vs Hannover 96 II Analysis →