Rosario Central 1-0 Instituto Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.95
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
15%
6.94
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.86
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.3
X/1
11%
4.77
X/2
15%
5.57
X/X
12%
3.24
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.78
2/X
12%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.06
+36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
23.2 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.16 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
231 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
04.06.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-1 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
20.02.2006 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
08.09.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
19.06.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
28.11.2004 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-0
AWAY Instituto Cordoba
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
287 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Instituto Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central edged past Instituto Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rosario Central found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rosario Central had 48% of the ball to Instituto Cordoba's 52%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rosario Central and 0.33 for Instituto Cordoba.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Instituto Cordoba?

Rosario Central 1-0 Instituto Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Instituto Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 33%, draw 32%, Instituto Cordoba 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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