10/03/2024
·
09:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Newmarket vs Redcliffe PCYC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
35%
4-5
20%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
60%
29%
Draw
22%
24%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newmarket v Redcliffe PCYC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newmarket
The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Redcliffe PCYC
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
289 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
184 · 64%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Newmarket vs Redcliffe PCYC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Newmarket squeezed past Redcliffe PCYC 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newmarket as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Newmarket vs Redcliffe PCYC?
Newmarket 2-1 Redcliffe PCYC in the Australia - Queensland Premier League 3 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newmarket vs Redcliffe PCYC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newmarket win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Newmarket 47%, draw 29%, Redcliffe PCYC 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newmarket) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Newmarket)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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