Melbourne City (K) 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.71/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.42
-43% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.8 Crosses 17.9
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City (K)
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.75 xG 0.95
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
525 Passes 188
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
35 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.01.2020 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
20.01.2019 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
09.12.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
12.11.2017 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 5-2 HT 2-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City (K)
2-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.75 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
436 Passes 225
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 19
4 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melbourne City (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) got the better of Newcastle Jets (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 61% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 39%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.75 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 0.80 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Melbourne City (K) 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 53%, draw 20%, Newcastle Jets (K) 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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