10/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Adana 5 Ocak vs Akşehir Spor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
51%
27%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adana 5 Ocak v Akşehir Spor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Adana 5 Ocak
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Akşehir Spor
The Market 29%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+53% /
+53%
0.52/0.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
-69%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+44%
/
+53%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
338 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
351 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Adana 5 Ocak vs Akşehir Spor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Adana 5 Ocak
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Akşehir Spor
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Adana 5 Ocak vs Akşehir Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Adana 5 Ocak saw off Akşehir Spor 3-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adana 5 Ocak as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Adana 5 Ocak vs Akşehir Spor?
Adana 5 Ocak 3-1 Akşehir Spor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adana 5 Ocak vs Akşehir Spor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adana 5 Ocak win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adana 5 Ocak 43%, draw 27%, Akşehir Spor 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adana 5 Ocak) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Adana 5 Ocak)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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10 Mar 2024