Zvijezda 09 Brgule 2-1 Zeljeznicar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.5pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 39%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -32%
1.76/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.57
+49% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zeljeznicar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
2-1
AWAY Zeljeznicar
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Zeljeznicar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zvijezda 09 Brgule squeezed past Zeljeznicar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Zvijezda 09 Brgule made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zvijezda 09 Brgule had 47% of the ball to Zeljeznicar's 53%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Zeljeznicar?

Zvijezda 09 Brgule 2-1 Zeljeznicar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs Zeljeznicar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zvijezda 09 Brgule win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zvijezda 09 Brgule 39%, draw 29%, Zeljeznicar 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zvijezda 09 Brgule) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zvijezda 09 Brgule) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
10 Mar 2024
21:00 Zrinjski Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka Analysis →