Esbjerg 2-1 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.98
+46% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Akademisk BK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-3 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
27.05.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
30.04.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-2 HT 0-2 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
10.04.2023 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
21.08.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-2 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
06.11.2019 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-2 HT 1-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
2-1
AWAY Akademisk BK
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg edged past Akademisk BK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Esbjerg had 40% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 60%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Esbjerg and 1.00 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Akademisk BK?

Esbjerg 2-1 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 58%, draw 24%, Akademisk BK 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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