Naesby vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naesby v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals
Naesby vs Holbaek Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Naesby
DAN3
0-2
HT 0-2
Naesby
DAN2
2-2
HT 0-1
Holbaek
DAN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Holbaek
DAN2
Naesby 0-3 Holbaek — Actual Match Statistics
Holbaek cruised past Naesby 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Naesby had 56% of the ball to Holbaek's 44%, shots finished 14-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naesby and 1.25 for Holbaek.
What was the final score of Naesby vs Holbaek?
Naesby 0-3 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naesby vs Holbaek?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Naesby 48%, draw 24%, Holbaek 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Naesby), Under 2.5 went the other way.