Santa Tecla 3-3 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.07/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.39
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
07.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
08.05.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-2 HT 0-2 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
12.03.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
08.05.2022 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
06.03.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-5 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla and Luis Angel Firpo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Tecla at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Tecla and 1.83 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Santa Tecla 3-3 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Tecla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 41%, draw 25%, Luis Angel Firpo 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Tecla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Tecla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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