Ethiopia Bunna 1-2 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.1pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.10.2023 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-1 HT 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-2
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema squeezed past Ethiopia Bunna 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Bunna at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 58% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 42%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-2 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 41%, draw 32%, Dire Dawa Kenema 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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