HB Torshavn 3-2 NSI Runavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Faroe Islands - Master League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Torshavn EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY NSI Runavik EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.23/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/3.53
+26% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Torshavn
4W-2D-0L
AWAY NSI Runavik
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2022 HB Torshavn HB Torshavn 3-1 HT 1-1 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEM
19.06.2022 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik 0-2 HT 0-1 HB Torshavn HB Torshavn FAROEM
13.03.2022 HB Torshavn HB Torshavn 5-1 HT 4-1 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEM
29.11.2021 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik 2-2 HT 1-2 HB Torshavn HB Torshavn FAROEK
21.11.2021 HB Torshavn HB Torshavn 2-2 HT 0-2 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEK
12.09.2021 HB Torshavn HB Torshavn 4-0 HT 2-0 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik FAROEM
POST-MATCH HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Torshavn nicked a narrow win over NSI Runavik 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HB Torshavn as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HB Torshavn had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for HB Torshavn and 1.00 for NSI Runavik.

What was the final score of HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik?

HB Torshavn 3-2 NSI Runavik in the Faroe Islands - Master League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a HB Torshavn win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split HB Torshavn 61%, draw 23%, NSI Runavik 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HB Torshavn), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HB Torshavn) ✓ Over 2.5
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