Baroka 0-1 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

Baroka
0-1 HT 0-0
Venda FC
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Baroka vs Venda FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baroka v Venda FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -8%
1.99/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.56
+55% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.2

Baroka vs Venda FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Venda FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Venda FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
18.02.2023 Baroka Baroka 3-1 HT 3-1 Venda FC GAF1
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venda FC squeezed past Baroka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Baroka at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baroka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Baroka and 0.50 for Venda FC.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Venda FC?

Baroka 0-1 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Baroka 52%, draw 27%, Venda FC 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baroka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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