Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.37
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.28 — our 39% vs market 37.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
43%
-11.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.89/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.46
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.6 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 250
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.08.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 3-2 HT 3-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
19.01.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-1 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
26.10.2019 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
19.10.2019 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
0-1
AWAY Golden Arrows
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
150 Passes 189
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows nicked a narrow win over Polokwane City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Golden Arrows found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Polokwane City had 45% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 55%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polokwane City and 1.50 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows?

Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated an Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 32%, draw 33%, Golden Arrows 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Golden Arrows), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Golden Arrows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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