10/03/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
Fortune vs BST Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
35%
4-5
32%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
34%
19%
Draw
25%
32%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortune v BST Galaxy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fortune
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
BST Galaxy
The Market 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
268 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
340 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Fortune vs BST Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Fortune
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
BST Galaxy
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Fortune vs BST Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fortune squeezed past BST Galaxy 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fortune as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Fortune vs BST Galaxy?
Fortune 2-1 BST Galaxy in the Gambiya - GFA League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortune vs BST Galaxy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortune win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortune 49%, draw 19%, BST Galaxy 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortune), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Fortune)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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