Gwangju 4-2 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Mar 2024

Gwangju
4-2 HT 0-1
Gangwon
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gwangju vs Gangwon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.57
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
2.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.5
X/1
20%
3.93
X/2
16%
7.93
X/X
12%
3.72
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
12%
7.07
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gwangju v Gangwon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
0.99/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.15
-23% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.0 Crosses 14.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Gwangju vs Gangwon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gangwon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 2.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
07.07.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
23.04.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
31.10.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 2-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
17.10.2021 Gangwon Gangwon 2-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
21.07.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 3-1 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK

Gwangju 4-2 Gangwon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
4-2
AWAY Gangwon
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju got the better of Gangwon 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gwangju found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gwangju had 48% of the ball to Gangwon's 52%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gwangju and 1.00 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Gwangju 4-2 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 40%, draw 28%, Gangwon 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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