Jeju United 3-1 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 10 Mar 2024

Jeju United
3-1 HT 2-0
Daejeon Citizen
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.85
X/2
9%
6.16
X/X
18%
4.06
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.64
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeju United v Daejeon Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
22.1 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 312
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 15
5 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
08.10.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
24.06.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
24.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 4-3 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
30.04.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-3 HT 0-2 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
13.09.2020 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2

Jeju United 3-1 Daejeon Citizen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
3-1
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
306 Passes 334
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United saw off Daejeon Citizen 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Jeju United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jeju United had 54% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jeju United and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Jeju United 3-1 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 38%, draw 30%, Daejeon Citizen 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeju United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeju United) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
10 Mar 2024
06:00 Siheung Citizen vs Seoul United Analysis →
08:00 Chuncheon Citizen vs Jeonju Analysis →
08:00 Gangneung City vs Seoul Jungnang Analysis →
10:00 Yangsan Eogok vs Sejong Vanesse Analysis →
10:00 FC Seoul vs Incheon United Analysis →
10:30 Gwangju vs Gangwon Analysis →