Seongnam 1-3 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.64/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.49
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
Crosses 12.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
278 Passes 221
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-2 HT 0-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
20.05.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-3 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
01.03.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-1 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
22.09.2018 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
12.08.2018 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
21.05.2018 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
1-3
AWAY Ansan Greeners
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners got the better of Seongnam 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Seongnam at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Seongnam had 60% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 40%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seongnam had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Seongnam and 1.00 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Ansan Greeners?

Seongnam 1-3 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 50%, draw 22%, Ansan Greeners 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Seongnam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seongnam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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