Nueva Concepcion 1-1 Iztapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
47%
4-5
24%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Concepcion The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Iztapa The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Concepcion
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Iztapa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
10.02.2022 Iztapa Iztapa 2-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Concepcion GUAT
14.11.2021 Nueva Concepcion 1-1 HT 0-0 Iztapa Iztapa GUAT
04.09.2021 Iztapa Iztapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Concepcion GUAT
POST-MATCH Nueva Concepcion vs Iztapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Concepcion and Iztapa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nueva Concepcion at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Iztapa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nueva Concepcion and 1.67 for Iztapa.

What was the final score of Nueva Concepcion vs Iztapa?

Nueva Concepcion 1-1 Iztapa in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Concepcion vs Iztapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Concepcion win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nueva Concepcion 50%, draw 25%, Iztapa 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nueva Concepcion), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Concepcion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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