Moss 0-4 Follo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Mar 2024

Moss
0-4
Follo
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Moss vs Follo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
35%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Follo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Follo EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
447 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Moss vs Follo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Follo
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
The Meetings
07.11.2010 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 1-2 Follo Follo NOR1
06.06.2010 Follo Follo 0-4 HT 0-2 Moss Moss NOR1
08.10.2006 Follo Follo 1-3 HT 0-3 Moss Moss NOR1
05.09.2005 Moss Moss 4-2 HT 1-1 Follo Follo NOR1
16.05.2005 Follo Follo 2-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Follo cruised past Moss 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Moss at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Moss and 1.40 for Follo.

What was the final score of Moss vs Follo?

Moss 0-4 Follo in the Friendlies on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Follo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moss 41%, draw 24%, Follo 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Moss), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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