Twente (K) 3-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.29
Over 2.5
44%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
40%
+16.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
60%
-16.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +103%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 2
10.11.2023 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente (K)
3-1
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Twente (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) beat PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente (K) had 47% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 53%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Twente (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Twente (K) 3-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 48%, draw 27%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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