Al Arabi 2-2 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.41
No
47%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.27
2-3 Goals
37%
2.1
4-5 Goals
24%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.5pp
47%
BTTS No
33%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 56%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.07/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.31
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 493
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
08.05.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
23.01.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
22.01.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 2-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
01.10.2021 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-4 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
22.02.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi and Al Sadd couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Sadd at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Arabi and 2.33 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Sadd?

Al Arabi 2-2 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 29%, draw 26%, Al Sadd 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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