10/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Tusker vs Leopards SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
17%
Draw
21%
52%
Away Win
52%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v Leopards SC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tusker
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leopards SC
EU Bookmakers 56%
+18% /
+18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-45% /
-45%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.48/0.97
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+17%
/
-57%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
202 · 65%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
445 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Tusker vs Leopards SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tusker
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Leopards SC
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
8
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
13
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
26.09.2021
Leopards SC
1-0
HT 1-0
Tusker
KEN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Tusker
KEN2
POST-MATCH
Tusker vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tusker squeezed past Leopards SC 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Leopards SC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Tusker vs Leopards SC?
Tusker 1-0 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs Leopards SC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tusker 31%, draw 17%, Leopards SC 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leopards SC) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Leopards SC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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