Linfield FC 3-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.16
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.53
2-3 Goals
41%
2.13
4-5 Goals
23%
2.5
6+ Goals
13%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
34.5
X/1
18%
3.46
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
10%
11.6
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
6%
29.0
2/X
5%
33.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
81%
-21.9pp
23%
Draw
13%
+10.1pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.78
-22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
519 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-6 HT 1-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
14.08.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
19.02.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
06.11.2021 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
11.09.2021 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linfield FC
3-1
AWAY Portadown FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC saw off Portadown FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Linfield FC had 60% of the ball to Portadown FC's 40%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Linfield FC and 0.50 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Portadown FC?

Linfield FC 3-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 59%, draw 23%, Portadown FC 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →