Zalgiris Vilnius 3-3 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.65/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/2.61
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Suduva
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
21.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
20.05.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
01.04.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
06.11.2022 Suduva Suduva 1-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
27.09.2022 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3-3
AWAY Suduva
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius and Suduva shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 61% of the ball to Suduva's 39%, shots finished 16-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.50 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Zalgiris Vilnius 3-3 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 52%, draw 25%, Suduva 23%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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