10/03/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
MTK II vs Ferencvaros II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
22%
Draw
24%
33%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MTK II v Ferencvaros II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
MTK II
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ferencvaros II
EU Bookmakers 32%
-62% /
-62%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+0%
/
-72%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
333 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
347 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
MTK II vs Ferencvaros II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
MTK II squeezed past Ferencvaros II 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MTK II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of MTK II vs Ferencvaros II?
MTK II 1-0 Ferencvaros II in the Hungary - NB III on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MTK II vs Ferencvaros II?
Before kick-off our model rated a MTK II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MTK II 45%, draw 22%, Ferencvaros II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (MTK II)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
MAC3
More Hungary - NB III
10 Mar 2024