10/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Asc Gendrim vs Garde Nationale Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
36%
4-5
28%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
49%
31%
Draw
24%
25%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asc Gendrim v Garde Nationale — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Asc Gendrim
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Garde Nationale
The Market 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
268 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
325 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Asc Gendrim vs Garde Nationale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Asc Gendrim squeezed past Garde Nationale 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Asc Gendrim as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Asc Gendrim vs Garde Nationale?
Asc Gendrim 1-0 Garde Nationale in the Moritanya - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asc Gendrim vs Garde Nationale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Asc Gendrim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asc Gendrim 43%, draw 31%, Garde Nationale 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asc Gendrim) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Asc Gendrim)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →