10/03/2024
·
03:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Lobos ULMX vs CDS Tampico Madero Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
25%
Draw
25%
35%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lobos ULMX v CDS Tampico Madero — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lobos ULMX
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
CDS Tampico Madero
EU Bookmakers 43%
-58% /
-58%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-57% /
-57%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
-100%
/
-46%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-41%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
5
281 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
325 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lobos ULMX vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lobos ULMX edged past CDS Tampico Madero 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lobos ULMX found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Lobos ULMX vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Lobos ULMX 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lobos ULMX vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos ULMX win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lobos ULMX 39%, draw 25%, CDS Tampico Madero 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobos ULMX) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lobos ULMX)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
10 Mar 2024