Smouha 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.24/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.74
+16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.9 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 318
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2023 Smouha Smouha 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.01.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
04.08.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
08.03.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
15.05.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
02.01.2021 Smouha Smouha 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-0
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
0.36 xG 1.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
184 Passes 330
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha edged past Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ceramica Cleopatra at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Smouha had 39% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 61%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.36 to 1.44 — on chances, Ceramica Cleopatra could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Smouha and 0.83 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Smouha 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Smouha 30%, draw 29%, Ceramica Cleopatra 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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