Cerro Porteno 0-1 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 10 Mar 2024

Cerro Porteno
0-1 HT 0-0
Tacuary
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2024

Cerro Porteno vs Tacuary Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.7pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerro Porteno v Tacuary — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.94/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.71
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Cerro Porteno vs Tacuary Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tacuary
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 1-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
03.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
11.06.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
10.04.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
26.09.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 5-0 HT 3-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
21.07.2022 Tacuary Tacuary 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR

Cerro Porteno 0-1 Tacuary — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-1
AWAY Tacuary
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuary squeezed past Cerro Porteno 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Cerro Porteno carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 68% of the ball to Tacuary's 32%, shots finished 20-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.67 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Tacuary?

Cerro Porteno 0-1 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 59%, draw 21%, Tacuary 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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