Tondela 0-3 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.08/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.15
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses 16.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Maritimo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.96 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 292
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 2-2 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
03.04.2022 Maritimo Maritimo 1-3 HT 1-1 Tondela Tondela POR
07.11.2021 Tondela Tondela 4-2 HT 3-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
16.02.2021 Tondela Tondela 2-1 HT 1-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
26.09.2020 Maritimo Maritimo 2-1 HT 2-1 Tondela Tondela POR
09.02.2020 Tondela Tondela 0-0 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
0-3
AWAY Maritimo
1.04 xG 3.73
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
124 Passes 397
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tondela vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo swept aside Tondela 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Maritimo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tondela had 30% of the ball to Maritimo's 70%, shots finished 9-28, expected goals 1.04 to 3.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tondela and 1.33 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Tondela vs Maritimo?

Tondela 0-3 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tondela 37%, draw 30%, Maritimo 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tondela), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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