Police FC 2-1 Gasogi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
45%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police FC The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gasogi United The Market 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Police FC vs Gasogi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police FC edged past Gasogi United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Police FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Police FC vs Gasogi United?

Police FC 2-1 Gasogi United in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police FC vs Gasogi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Police FC 45%, draw 26%, Gasogi United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Police FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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