Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Hes İlaç Afyonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hes İlaç Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.80/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+48% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hes İlaç Afyonspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.10.2023 Hes İlaç Afyonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1-0
AWAY Hes İlaç Afyonspor
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Hes İlaç Afyonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor edged past Hes İlaç Afyonspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Karacabey Belediye Spor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 67% of the ball to Hes İlaç Afyonspor's 33%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Hes İlaç Afyonspor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Hes İlaç Afyonspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Hes İlaç Afyonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 38%, draw 29%, Hes İlaç Afyonspor 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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