10/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Edirnespor vs Erciyes 38 FSK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
31%
Draw
25%
24%
Away Win
18%
53%
Under 2.5
56%
47%
Over 2.5
44%
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
50%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edirnespor v Erciyes 38 FSK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Edirnespor
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Erciyes 38 FSK
EU Bookmakers 21%
+33% /
+33%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
3.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.58/2.19
+79%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
-25%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
2
374 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
301 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Edirnespor vs Erciyes 38 FSK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Edirnespor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Erciyes 38 FSK
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
28.10.2023
Erciyes 38 FSK
2-0
HT 0-0
Edirnespor
S3-2
2-0
HT 0-0
Edirnespor
S3-2
POST-MATCH
Edirnespor vs Erciyes 38 FSK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Edirnespor edged past Erciyes 38 FSK 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Edirnespor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Edirnespor vs Erciyes 38 FSK?
Edirnespor 1-0 Erciyes 38 FSK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Edirnespor vs Erciyes 38 FSK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Edirnespor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Edirnespor 45%, draw 31%, Erciyes 38 FSK 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Edirnespor), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Edirnespor)
✓ Under 2.5
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S3-2
More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
10 Mar 2024