Ajdovscina Skou 3-1 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajdovscina Skou EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.43/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/2.37
-12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajdovscina Skou
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
10.04.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
24.09.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 2-2 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
03.04.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajdovscina Skou
3-1
AWAY Rudar Velenje
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajdovscina Skou vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajdovscina Skou got the better of Rudar Velenje 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajdovscina Skou as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ajdovscina Skou had 49% of the ball to Rudar Velenje's 51%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ajdovscina Skou had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ajdovscina Skou and 1.00 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Ajdovscina Skou vs Rudar Velenje?

Ajdovscina Skou 3-1 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajdovscina Skou vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajdovscina Skou win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ajdovscina Skou 44%, draw 33%, Rudar Velenje 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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