Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 3-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.1pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.08/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.27
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
3-1
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Etimesgut Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü saw off Etimesgut Belediyespor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 36% / 32%) promised a tight game; Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü had 49% of the ball to Etimesgut Belediyespor's 51%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 3-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 32%, draw 36%, Etimesgut Belediyespor 32%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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