Greenville Triumph 3-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 52%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph saw off Spokane Velocity 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spokane Velocity at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?

Greenville Triumph 3-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 28%, draw 29%, Spokane Velocity 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
10 Mar 2024
03:00 Lexington vs Northern Colorado Analysis →
03:30 Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego Analysis →