10/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Giouchtas vs Tilikratis Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
30%
Draw
23%
37%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Giouchtas v Tilikratis — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Giouchtas
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tilikratis
EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-58% /
-58%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+11%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
248 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
446 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Giouchtas vs Tilikratis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Giouchtas squeezed past Tilikratis 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Giouchtas found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Giouchtas vs Tilikratis?
Giouchtas 1-0 Tilikratis in the Greece - Superlig 2 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Giouchtas vs Tilikratis?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tilikratis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Giouchtas 33%, draw 30%, Tilikratis 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tilikratis), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Tilikratis)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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